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and any commissions are not to be reckoned. In Mr.
Ross' opinion the traffic on the Chinese section
would not suffice to pay interest on the loan besides
working expenses, and consequently provision must be
made in fixing the amount of the loan for at least
one year's interest, if not for two. As the Hong-
kong Government will no doubt be able to raise the
capital required for the British section much more
cheaply than the Chinese Government for theirs, while
the land will no doubt be acquired more cheaply and
there will be no commissions to pay, the Chinese .
Government will, it appears, be at a disadvantage if
interest is to be allowed only on the amount actu-
ally expended on construction and equipment. The
enclosed copy of a rough pro-forma estimate shows
that under this clause, while the amount of the Loan
is estimated at £1,500,000, only £1,000,000 of this
will rank as entitled to interest in calculating the
net profits. The Engineer's estimate for the con-
struction and equipment of the British section is
put down in the same document at £488,317, but Mr.
Ross states that he was authoritatively informed that
it would be nearer £600,000. The net profits if
divided according to mileage would be as 4 to 1, but
if divided according to the actual amount of capital
expended on construction and equipment would work out
as 5 to 3. On this question therefore there is like-
ly to be much opposition from the Chinese side.
I enclose also copy of a letter addressed to me
by Mr. Ross in which these questions are discussed
and Your Lordship will see that he advises the
amount of the loan should be stated as "not more than
£2,000,000".
Copy of this despatch, with enclosures has been
forwarded to the Governor of Hongkong.
I have &c.,
(Signed)
Ernest Satow.
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